If you’ve ever played free-to-play video games on your phone, you may have seen an advert or two, including mini-games and other content with variable quality and relevance.
That’s the space where Incymo operates; it promises to leverage machine learning and other smarts to maximize advertising revenues for game publishers, promising its users a 30% increase in average revenue per user (ARPU) from new users and a 10% increase to paying customers.
In a market of huge numbers, where every penny counts and every percent can have a tremendous impact on the game companies, those figures caught the eyes of Incymo’s investors.
We decided to take a closer look at its deck to see whether we’d have reached for our checkbooks or the big, red “pass” button.
We’re looking for more unique pitch decks to tear down, so if you want to submit your own, here’s how you can do that.
Incymo AI’s deck has only 12 slides, so the company needs to make every slide count. Here’s what’s included:
There’s a lot to love about Incymo’s slide deck. The design is fresh and it includes many of the key aspects we’d expect to see in a pre-seed deck.
[Slide 7] That’s a huge TAM. Image Credits: Incymo
Nobody is going to argue with Incymo that marketing for video games is a big market, and the company gets partial credit for showing off the various ways of calculating the TAM and SOM — in this case, top-down and bottom-up.
[Slide 7] That’s a huge TAM. Image Credits: Incymo
The $72 billion per year TAM is hugely naive, bordering on absurd.
Having said that, the top-down calculation seems to be “every game on the Google Play and Apple App store, multiplied by the $4,000 we would charge them per month, multiplied by the number of months in the year.” It’s a bold calculation, and I can see how the company got there, but even if it were to execute with 100% perfection, there’s going to be a huge number of games that can’t or won’t be customers.
The $72 billion per year TAM is hugely naive, bordering on absurd. On the one hand, it doesn’t really matter: The deciding factor is whether the company has a big market, and I agree it probably does. Nonetheless, any executive team that is taking this approach to calculating a TAM is showing its hand as being pretty unsophisticated.
The bottom-down SOM, however, is also pretty unsophisticated. If I’m reading this slide right, the company is essentially saying, “We have 600 people in our sales pipeline, so our obtainable market is to convert all of them at $4,000 per month.” That also isn’t realistic for a number of reasons: No company ever converts all of its leads, and this SOM seems to indicate that there’s a maximum of 600 customers going into the top of the funnel. A company that can’t top up its leads over time is doomed to stagnate.
Look, I 100% believe that Incymo is in a large market and that it can probably find enough customers to make this worthwhile, but the slide deck is an opportunity to show your would-be investors that you understand the financial levers in your business. These slides seem to indicate the opposite; not a great look.
[Slide 4] Traction beats all else. Image Credits: Incymo
Loving the strong traction headline — it’s one of the things that investors care about more than anything else. I wish the company showed its traction by metrics other than “number of clients” and “more clients in the process” — it would have been more powerful to show revenue or results, for example.
[Slide 4] Traction beats all else. Image Credits: Incymo
There’s a huge difference between signing up major game studios that want to use your product across its entire portfolio of games and signing up a skunkworks in the same game studio that’s running a pilot and signing up an indie developer. On one of the other slides, Incymo mentions that some of the game companies have $20 million annual marketing budgets. Awesome, but it doesn’t connect the dots to say whether it has actually signed one of those companies.
The other thing I find myself stumbling over on this slide is the “15 more in the process.” That means very different things to different companies. Anyone who’s done B2B sales knows that a healthy sales pipeline is the alpha and omega of a successful sales operation. Having someone “in the process” could mean anything — and without closer qualification, it’s dangerously close to being yet another vanity metric.
[Slide 2] Gotta love a clearly defined problem. Image Credits: Incymo
There’s little doubt that marketing for mobile games is cutthroat and supremely competitive. The difference between the No. 3 and No. 6 slots on the app charts is vast, and a lot of these companies are spending eye-watering amounts of money to fight their way to the top.
[Slide 2] Gotta love a clearly defined problem. Image Credits: Incymo
I 100% believe it when the company says that it has found that its target customers (gaming user acquisition marketers) are spending a lot of time iterating on ads that perform well. A sample size of 20 seems a bit low for this slide, so I’d love to have seen some slightly more comprehensive numbers, but that doesn’t reduce the clarity of the problem statement. (Though the grammar leaves a thing or two to be desired.)
So. Those were some of the positive things we found about this pitch deck, and you perhaps noted we still added caveats. In just a moment, we’re about to get a lot saltier and look at a few things Incymo could have improved or done differently, along with its full pitch deck!
Strap in; it’s going to be quite the ride.
Source @TechCrunch
